Bootstrap Unit Root Tests in Panels with Cross-Sectional Dependency

We apply bootstrap methodology to unit root tests for dependent panels with N cross-sectional units and T time series observations. More speci cally, we let each panel be driven by a general linear process which may be di erent across crosssectional units, and approximate it by a nite order autoregressive integrated process of order increasing with T . As we allow the dependency among the innovations generating the individual series, we construct our unit root tests from the estimation of the system of the entire N cross-sectional units. The limit distributions of the tests are derived by passing T to in nity, with N xed. We then apply bootstrap method to the approximated autoregressions to obtain critical values for the panel unit root tests, and establish the asymptotic validity of such bootstrap panel unit root tests under general conditions. The proposed bootstrap tests are indeed quite general covering a wide class of panel models. They in particular allow for very general dynamic structures which may vary across individual units, and more importantly for the presence of arbitrary cross-sectional dependency. The nite sample performance of the bootstrap tests is examined via simulations, and compared to that of commonly used panel unit root tests. We nd that our bootstrap tests perform relatively well, especially when N is small. This version: January 24, 2002. JEL Classi cation: C12, C15, C32, C33.